A non approved Mini El Niño report of wet and cold weather.

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by HK_User, Jan 12, 2015.

  1. HK_User

    HK_User A Productive Monkey is a Happy Monkey

    Want to see a pretty picture? Here it is, the monthly precipitation anomalies for the U.S. and it shows that almost all of Texas and large portions of the Southwest have above average winter rainfall. Indeed, 59 percet of Texas is no longer in official drought conditions and 38 percent of the state is no longer even listed as dry!

    Want to see a scary map? Unfortunately, the precipitation came with cold temperatures. Most of Texas and the Southwest have averaged temperatures 5° ̶ 15°F below normal. (Shiver!)


    Here’s what is happening: the Pacific is creating weak El Niño patterns. No, this is not an official El Niño event; that has to have warm water lingering over a specific part of the ocean for roughly 6 to 7 months or more. Scientists say there is only a 50 to 60 percent chance of that happening. It is not even officially El Niño conditions. That would require the special measuring area in the Tropical Pacific to be warm for almost 3 months. The experts have only declared an El Niño warning. That means the special measured area is warm right now, and they think the warmth may last.


    What that means is that the Pacific is currently warm in exactly the right area to steer tropical rainfall patterns (and cold fronts) to the Southwest for a while. Scientists think there is only a 50 – 60% chance that this pattern will last through spring, but most international agencies expect it to last at least until March.

    So bundle up warm and enjoy the rain. -EBG
  2. Yard Dart

    Yard Dart Vigilant Monkey Moderator

    Good detail HK [winkthumb]

    We have been nice and wet up here as well.... Like Seattle needs more rain... ;)
    Motomom34 and HK_User like this.
  3. HK_User

    HK_User A Productive Monkey is a Happy Monkey

    Been there, have the web feet to prove it.

    For us, if this wet last till March it will mean a green spring and maybe a wet summer. The rain is certainly needed after years of drought. Green up will mean we can sell cattle that have been held back in reserve because of a lack of green pasture. Even with the drought we have had enough green summer pasture to keep them healthy, although we added protein cubes to their summer diet, but did not have enough grass to fatten them up for the sale barn.

    We may actually break even this year!
  4. Yard Dart

    Yard Dart Vigilant Monkey Moderator

    Well bring on the rain for, you for sure!! [chopper]
    HK_User likes this.
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