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Marines on the move...

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by melbo, Jan 20, 2006.

  1. melbo

    melbo Hunter Gatherer Administrator Founding Member


    Issue # 223

    January 18, 2006

    War Ahead or Just Training?

    Not to be an alarmist about such things, but we have one Reader who spends a lot of his time watching public information about the US military. Today, he notes the following:

    WOW ... almost everything that can carry a Marine is now at sea. Enough stuff is now out to fully outfit an ADDITIONAL FIVE (5) Marine Expeditionary Strike Forces.

    All 8 LSD's are out

    6 of the 8 LPD's are out (1 was scheduled for retirement this spring and another 1 in Aug so I don't even know those two (2) are capable of going to sea)

    4 of our 7 LHD's (new model mini carrier) and 3 of our 5 LHA (old model mini carrier) are out (enough for one for each real and each potential ESG).

    The Marines are MOVING.


    http://www.chinfo.navy.mil/navpalib/...ww/status.html as of January 17, 2006:

    Carriers: USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) - Persian Gulf USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) - Pacific Ocean USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) - Pacific Ocean

    Command Ships: USS Mount Whitney (LCC 20) - Atlantic Ocean

    Tarawa Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG) [13th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) (SOC)] USS Tarawa (LHA 1) - Indian Ocean USS Cleveland (LPD 7) - Indian Ocean USS Pearl Harbor (LSD 52) - Indian Ocean

    Nassau Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG) [22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) (SOC)] USS Nassau (LHA 4) - Arabian Sea USS Austin (LPD 4) - Persian Gulf USS Carter Hall (LSD 50) - Arabian Sea

    Amphibious Warfare Ships:

    USS Peleliu (LHA 5) - Pacific Ocean USS Essex (LHD 2) - Pacific Ocean USS Boxer (LHD 4) - Pacific Ocean USS Bataan (LHD 5) - Atlantic Ocean USS Iwo Jima (LHD 7) - Atlantic Ocean USS Ogden (LPD 5) - Pacific Ocean USS Juneau (LPD 10) - East China Sea USS Nashville (LPD 13) - Atlantic Ocean USS San Antonio (LPD 17) - Gulf of Mexico USS Whidbey Island (LSD 41) - Atlantic Ocean USS Fort McHenry (LSD 43) - Pacific Ocean USS Comstock (LSD 45) - Pacific Ocean USS Harpers Ferry (LSD 49) - East China Sea USS Oak Hill (LSD 51) - Atlantic Ocean USS Germantown (LSD 42) - Pacific Ocean

    Could Iran (or somewhere else) be about to "go hot?" We're watching for the last few days of the month into first week of Feb in part because of the movement of forces, partly because of the dark of the moon then, and because the web bots say something unexpected is coming around then... Now, place your bets: Is this a bluff? You saw our reports of air units moving to the Middle East we reported last week, right?

    At the same time, stories are floating around the 'net today about how terrorists are likely to use WMD's in the near future.

    If I were wildly speculating, the sequence would go something like this: Proliferation of a lot of terrorist/WMD stories this week, an "event of some kind" around the end of next week, a purported "smoking gun" that would point to Iran or Syria, and a strike during the dark of the moon. Just a possible sequence to watch for.

    No doubt, China and Russia are watching this closely, too...

    This is why, if we see the Global Markets continue their synchronized swan dive to too large an extent, it will become very important to the Powers That Be to manufacture something to keep the public's mind off the speculative nature of present markets, and to shift blame onto some demon other than our own greed.

    Consequently, we expect rising odds of some kind of major terror event in the next week or two - if the markets continue to show weakness and danger of collapse. While at this time it's only a 5% kind of chance, if the markets take out say 10,000 on the Dow in the next week or two, then I'd raise the odds to something like 70-30 in favor of such a blame-shifting attack to occur.

    I guess we'll see...
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