A few of us have been discussing how much longer we have to prep for social instability in South Africa. If we lose another 10% of our electricity grid, if we achieve the predicted shortfall of 10% of our budget next year, and if our water system’s current crumble accelerates, if El Nino 2015 ruins crops and food prices soar, if our credit rating is lowered again and inflation increases and poor people become poorer, and if unemployment reaches 30% (from 25%), what could happen in our society? Will civil insurrection result? And how soon will it happen? We have drawn up our own quasi-scientific scenarios, but now we are looking for the software to do it properly. (Preferably free, preferably able to run on both Windows and Linux. It’s just a hobby and we are new to it). Those of us who were in the old Defence Force are familiar by reputation with the civil stuff which military intelligence used to do: “If such-and-such place has a riot, and if so-and-so industry goes on strike, and if X power station gets blown up, then what will be the resultant reaction amongst the militant civilians in Y region?” So, the exact stuff which we want does exist. Now it is a matter of finding it, even if it is a basic/freeware model to begin with. Any advice?